Finvest
FG Insurance · Annuities · Retirement income · Controlled company · Thesis updated July 19, 2026

Fee shift needs Peak to pay off

01 Running thesis

A spread insurer chasing fees

F&G is still mainly a spread business. It sells annuities and life insurance, invests the customer money, and tries to earn more on those assets than it owes policyholders. That can be a good model when pricing, credit, and rates line up.

The bull case is that F&G is becoming less tied to that spread. Management says fee-based strategies were about 15% of adjusted net earnings in 2025 and should reach about 25% by year-end 2028. The company also has a reinsurance sidecar, which lets outside capital take part of new FIA and MYGA sales, and it is weighing strategic alternatives for Peak Altitude.

The bear case is that the shift is not free. The alternatives portfolio yielded 8.3% in Q1, below the new 12% to 14% long-term target. That hurts returns today. F&G also remains sensitive to interest rates, credit losses, and how hard competitors price annuities.

May 2026F&G announced a formal review of Peak Altitude, authorized a new $100 million buyback, and set a 25% fee-based earnings target for year-end 2028. The positives were balanced by weak alternative investment yield versus the new target.
Feb 2026FNF completed its distribution of about 12% of F&G shares on December 31, 2025, which increased the public float. FNF still retained about 70% ownership.
Nov 2025Management said the new reinsurance sidecar was active and expected FIA sales to move toward a 50-50 retained versus flow mix. Owned distribution was also expected to produce over $80 million of EBITDA for 2025.
Aug 2025Q2 filings showed annuity sales improved and owned distribution revenue recovered from earlier weakness. This supported the view that management can shift capital toward better-returning products.
May 2025Q1 showed lower MYGA sales and softer owned distribution revenue, but management framed both as temporary or tactical. The RILA rollout remained slower than hoped, while medium-term confidence stayed intact.
02 Business model

Gather assets, keep the spread

F&G gathers assets by selling annuities, life insurance, pension risk transfer deals, and funding agreements. The basic profit engine is the spread between investment income and the promises made to policyholders.

Management tries to improve that model in three ways. It uses flow reinsurance to share new business with partners, keeps expenses tight as assets grow, and owns parts of distribution firms that can create fee income. That owned distribution strategy includes Peak Altitude.

The company has also changed how it talks about alternative investments. About $6 billion of lower-yielding, debt-like assets were moved into fixed income, leaving a roughly $4 billion alternatives portfolio with a 12% to 14% long-term return target.

Where the model breaks is simple: if rates move against pricing, if credit losses rise, or if alternatives miss the target, earnings can lag even while sales look strong.

03 Product portfolio

What F&G sells

Growth engine

Fixed indexed annuities

These products link customer returns to an index, with insurance-style protections. They were about 44% of 2024 gross sales and are a core focus.

Cash cow

Fixed rate annuities

MYGAs pay a fixed rate for several years. Management treats them as opportunistic and has throttled lower-margin sales when capital can earn more elsewhere.

Steady

Pension risk transfer

PRT deals let employers move pension obligations to an insurer. This is part of F&G's core sales base and was about 15% of 2024 gross sales.

Option

Funding agreements

Funding agreements are institutional products that can add scale when pricing is attractive. They were about 7% of 2024 gross sales.

Option

Registered index-linked annuities

RILA is a newer product for F&G. Management says the rollout is taking longer because it must get onto distribution platforms, but still sees medium-term sales potential in the billions.

Growth engine

Owned distribution

F&G owns stakes in distribution firms that sell insurance products. Peak Altitude is the key asset under review and the owned distribution portfolio was expected to generate over $80 million of EBITDA for 2025.

04 Business segments

Sales mix is the real map

Fixed indexed annuities44%modest
Fixed rate annuities33%declining
Pension risk transfer15%modest
Funding agreements7%flat

The mix below uses gross sales by product for the year ended December 31, 2024. F&G can change this mix fast, especially by raising or cutting MYGA and funding agreement sales when pricing changes.

05 Risk factors

What could go wrong

Peak review disappoints

Medium impact · Medium odds

Peak Altitude is a key part of the fee-income story. A weak sale, no deal, or a structure that does not free up capital would make the sum-of-the-parts case less clear.

We watchThe announced outcome of the Peak Altitude strategic review, including valuation, ownership structure, and use of proceeds.

Alternatives miss the hurdle

High impact · Medium odds

F&G now targets 12% to 14% long-term returns on its remaining alternatives portfolio. Q1 yield was 8.3%, so the gap is real. If it persists, return on assets and return on equity can stay weak.

We watchQuarterly alternative investment yield versus the 12% to 14% target.

Rates squeeze the spread

High impact · Medium odds

F&G earns much of its money from investment spreads. If market rates move in ways that raise policyholder costs or lower reinvestment returns, new business can look less attractive. Hedging helps, but it does not remove all rate risk.

We watchManagement commentary on new money yields, credited rates, hedging costs, and MYGA sales appetite.

Credit losses normalize higher

High impact · Medium odds

An insurer's investment book is the heart of the company. If credit losses rise, earnings and capital can both take a hit. This matters more when the market is already questioning performance.

We watchImpairments, credit loss reserves, ratings migration, and realized investment losses in quarterly filings.

Controlled-company discount stays

Medium impact · Medium odds

FNF completed a distribution of about 12% of F&G stock on December 31, 2025, which increased the public float. But FNF still owned about 70% after the distribution. Some investors may still apply a discount because control remains concentrated.

We watchFNF ownership percentage, public float, board governance, and any further stock distributions.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

How does F&G make money?

F&G sells annuities and life insurance, then invests the money behind those policies. It tries to earn a spread, meaning its investment return is higher than what it owes customers.

Why does Peak Altitude matter to F&G stock?

Peak Altitude is part of F&G's owned distribution strategy. A deal could show that this fee-based business is worth more than investors currently credit in the stock.

Is F&G becoming less rate-sensitive?

Somewhat, but not fully. Fee income, owned distribution, and reinsurance can reduce reliance on spreads, yet the core business still depends on rates, credit, and annuity pricing.

What is the biggest near-term catalyst?

The biggest watch item is the outcome of the Peak Altitude strategic review. Investors will also watch whether alternative investment returns move closer to the 12% to 14% long-term target.