Finvest
OFG Regional Banks · Puerto Rico · Regional bank · Capital returns · Thesis updated July 2, 2026

Better credit data, still one big loan

01 Running thesis

Margin rebound, credit not cleared

OFG looks better after its Q1 2026 filing. The first earnings release sounded good, but the 10-Q gave the missing credit detail. Non-performing assets fell 6.4% to $127.3 million, the non-performing loan rate fell to 1.47%, and net charge-offs stayed at 1.05% of average loans.

The bull case is now clearer. Net interest margin, or NIM, which is the spread a bank earns between loan yields and funding costs, was 5.36% in Q1. Management also lifted 2026 NIM guidance to 5.10% to 5.20%, after earlier guidance had pointed to more pressure. Buybacks help too, with $44.5 million of shares repurchased in the quarter.

The bear case did not disappear. One Puerto Rico telecommunications loan is still on non-accrual, meaning it is not paying as expected. Its balance only moved from $45.0 million at year-end 2025 to $44.1 million at March 31, 2026. Until that loan is worked down more, credit risk is contained, not gone.

Finn's overall view is mixed rather than excited. OFG earns well for a small regional bank, but it is highly tied to Puerto Rico, loan growth is moderating, and the stock does not screen as a clear bargain.

May 2026The Q1 2026 10-Q gave the missing credit detail. Non-performing assets fell, net charge-offs were stable, and the telecom non-accrual loan was paid down slightly to $44.1 million.
Apr 2026Q1 earnings improved the margin story. Management raised 2026 NIM guidance to 5.10% to 5.20%, reported $1.26 of EPS, bought back $44.5 million of stock, and lifted the quarterly dividend to $0.35.
Mar 2026A second 2025 10-K source added no usable filing data. The prior thesis stayed unchanged.
Feb 2026The 2025 10-K showed a harder credit backdrop. Non-performing assets rose 45.3% to $136.0 million, driven by a $45.0 million Puerto Rico telecom loan, while net charge-offs rose to 1.00% of average loans.
Jan 2026Q4 2025 guidance pointed to slower loan growth and lower NIM near 4.95% to 5.05%. The dividend increase helped, but the core earnings guide got weaker.
Nov 2025The Q3 2025 10-Q confirmed higher credit costs. Net charge-offs stayed high at 1.00% of average loans, while commercial loans kept growing as a share of the book.
Oct 2025Q3 2025 results showed credit pressure tied to two commercial loans and NIM compression to 5.24%. Management expected Q4 NIM to fall to 5.1% to 5.2%.
Aug 2025The Q2 2025 10-Q showed strong loan growth, led by commercial lending, but also a rise in non-performing commercial loans. The thesis became more balanced.
02 Business model

A Puerto Rico bank with fee add-ons

OFG makes most of its money the way a bank does. It takes deposits, lends to people and businesses, and earns net interest income from loans and securities. Its loans include commercial, auto, mortgage, and consumer credit.

Fees add a second layer. The wealth management arm sells financial planning, insurance, investment advisory, securities brokerage, and trust services. These fees can help when lending spreads get tighter, but banking and treasury results still drive the story.

The company is also pushing a Digital First model. As of Q1 2025, 96% of retail customer transactions and 97% of retail deposit transactions were done through digital or self-service channels. That can lower branch pressure over time, but it also raises the cost of staying current in technology and security.

The model can break if credit losses rise, if deposit costs climb faster than loan yields, or if Puerto Rico has a local economic shock. OFG also had $1.261 billion of deposits from the Puerto Rico government in Q1 2026, which adds funding concentration risk.

03 Product portfolio

What OFG sells

Growth engine

Commercial lending

Commercial loans were 43.1% of the gross loan portfolio in Q1 2026, up from 42.6% at year-end 2025. This is the main strategic shift, but it also brings larger borrower risk.

Cash cow

Auto lending

Auto loans were 32.0% of the loan book in Q1 2026. This remains a large lending pool, even as commercial lending takes more share.

Steady

Mortgage lending

Mortgage loans were 16.7% of the Q1 2026 loan portfolio. They give OFG a steadier retail credit base than a pure business lender would have.

Steady

Consumer lending

Consumer loans were 8.2% of the Q1 2026 loan book. This is the smallest major loan category, but it helps keep the bank tied to local household banking.

Option

Wealth management

Wealth management provides planning, insurance, investment advisory, brokerage, and trust services. It produced $18.7 million of pre-tax income in 2025, up from $17.9 million in 2024.

Option

Digital banking

OFG runs forty-two branches in Puerto Rico and two in the U.S. Virgin Islands, supported by a large digital platform. Digital use is high, with 96% of retail customer transactions through digital or self-service channels as of Q1 2025.

04 Business segments

Profit mix by segment

Banking44%declining
Wealth Management8%modest
Treasury48%flat

Segment shares use 2025 pre-tax income: Banking $102.2 million, Wealth Management $18.7 million, and Treasury $113.2 million. The mix shows a caveat: Treasury was the largest profit contributor, but Banking remains the main customer business.

05 Risk factors

What could break the thesis

The telecom loan worsens

High impact · Medium odds

The known problem loan is a Puerto Rico telecommunications commercial loan. It was $44.1 million at March 31, 2026, down only slightly from $45.0 million at year-end 2025. If the workout fails, OFG could need more reserves or charge-offs.

We watchThe balance and status of the $44.1 million telecom non-accrual loan in each filing.

Puerto Rico shock

High impact · Medium odds

OFG conducts most of its business in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Local fiscal stress, storms, recession, or government liquidity issues could hurt borrowers and deposits at the same time. This is a structural risk, not a one-quarter issue.

We watchPuerto Rico employment, government liquidity, and OFG delinquency rates.

Commercial credit mix turns risky

Medium impact · Medium odds

Commercial loans rose to 43.1% of the portfolio in Q1 2026. That can lift yields, but business loans can be lumpy because one borrower can matter a lot. The recent telecom loan shows why the mix shift needs close watching.

We watchCommercial non-performing loans, commercial charge-offs, and U.S. mainland credit losses.

Margin guide misses

Medium impact · Medium odds

Q1 2026 NIM was 5.36%, and management guided 2026 NIM to 5.10% to 5.20%. If deposit costs rise or loan yields reset lower, earnings could fall even if credit stays calm. The earlier 2026 guide had been lower, so this remains a key proof point.

We watchQuarterly NIM versus the 5.10% to 5.20% full-year guide.

Government deposit concentration

Medium impact · Low odds

OFG had $1.261 billion of deposits from the Puerto Rico government in Q1 2026. Large public deposits can move for reasons outside normal customer behavior. If they leave quickly, the bank may need more expensive funding.

We watchPuerto Rico government deposit balances and total deposit cost.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

What does OFG Bancorp do?

OFG Bancorp is a bank holding company focused mainly on Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. It offers commercial, auto, mortgage, consumer, wealth, insurance, brokerage, and trust services.

Why is OFG's telecom loan important?

The telecom loan is a single non-performing commercial loan with a $44.1 million balance at March 31, 2026. Because it is large for one borrower, investors should watch whether OFG reduces it or takes more losses.

Is OFG mainly a growth story or an income story?

It is more of an earnings and capital return story than a fast growth story. Loan growth is moderating, but margin improved in Q1 2026 and the company repurchased $44.5 million of stock during the quarter.

What is the main thing to watch next?

Watch credit and margin together. The cleanest bull path is a lower telecom loan balance, NIM staying inside the 5.10% to 5.20% 2026 guide, and steady buyback execution.