Finvest
WPP Advertising and marketing services · Turnaround · AI marketing · Global agency · Thesis updated July 20, 2026

WPP is rebuilding while revenue falls

01 Running thesis

A big reset with a weak bridge year

WPP is in the middle of a deep reset. Management says the company will stop acting like a group of stand-alone agencies and move to a single company model. The goal is simple: make it easier for one client to buy media, creative, data, production, and technology from the same WPP team.

The bull case is that this fixes a real problem. Big advertisers want fewer handoffs, faster content, better data, and lower cost. WPP says its 2028 plan can deliver £500M of gross annual cost savings by 2028. New business is also improving, with WPP ranked #1 in JPMorgan's net new business rankings in Q4 2025.

The bear case is that the reset is happening while revenue is still under pressure. Management expects old client losses to create a 500 to 600 basis point drag in 2026, and guided to a mid-to-high single-digit like-for-like revenue decline in the first half of 2026. That means the first proof point is not the strategy deck. It is whether recent wins turn into revenue in the second half of 2026 and growth in 2027.

Mar 2026The 2025 20-F confirmed the new four-unit plan and added clearer AI risk language. WPP warned that WPP Open, AI agent errors, and copyright issues are now material things to watch.
Feb 2026WPP announced a move from a holding-company model to one company with four operating units. The update added a £500M gross annual savings target, but also warned that H1 2026 revenue would fall mid-to-high single digits on a like-for-like basis.
Apr 2025Q1 2025 showed organic sales down 2.7%, with China and project work still weak. WPP Open adoption improved to 60% of client-facing people, and InfoSum strengthened the data strategy.
Mar 2025Filings confirmed the earlier simplification into VML and Burson, the FGS Global disposal, and the central role of WPP Open. The view stayed balanced because GroupM, China, and project work were still under pressure.
Feb 2025Full-year 2024 results showed improving technology client spend in Q4, but China was still very weak. New business wins supported the recovery case, while reported results remained soft.
Oct 2024Q3 2024 brought better technology-sector growth and major GroupM wins including Amazon and Unilever. China and project spending stayed weak, so the benefit was pushed into later periods.
Aug 2024The initial thesis framed WPP as a simplification story built around fewer agency brands, AI in production, and balance sheet improvement from the FGS Global stake sale. The main offsets were China weakness and the need to fix GroupM performance.
02 Business model

Selling one WPP to big clients

WPP makes money by helping companies and governments market their products and messages. It plans and buys ads, creates campaigns, builds customer experience systems, runs content studios, and manages public relations. Some work is long-term account work. Some is project work, which can be cut quickly when clients get nervous.

The new model is built around WPP Open, an AI-driven marketing system. WPP Open brings together data, creative tools, media insights, and workflow software. The April 2025 InfoSum deal adds privacy-safe data collaboration, which helps clients use their own customer data without freely sharing it across the ad market.

The weak spot is execution. WPP has to change incentives, reporting lines, technology use, and client behavior at the same time. If clients still buy from separate agency brands, or if employees protect old silos, the cost savings may arrive but the revenue benefit may not.

03 Product portfolio

Four parts of the new WPP

Cash cow

WPP Media

This is the renamed GroupM media business. It plans and buys ads, uses data to target audiences, and is central to WPP's largest client relationships.

Steady

WPP Creative

This unit brings together brands such as VML, Ogilvy, AKQA, Burson, Landor, and Design Bridge and Partners under one leadership setup. The aim is to reduce agency friction and sell broader work to the same client.

Growth engine

WPP Production

This unit runs content production and high-speed studios. It is meant to help clients make more ads, in more formats, at lower cost.

Growth engine

WPP Enterprise Solutions

This business covers consulting, customer experience, commerce, CRM, content transformation, and technology platforms. Management says it is about 13% of group net revenue, or $1.8B.

Option

WPP Open

WPP Open is the AI system that links the company together. It can improve pitches and speed up work, but it also creates risk if clients do not adopt it or if AI tools produce bad outputs.

04 Business segments

The old segment mix still reports

Global Integrated Agencies88%declining
Public Relations and Specialist Agencies12%flat

For 2025 reporting, WPP still disclosed Global Integrated Agencies at 88% of revenue and Public Relations plus Specialist Agencies at 12%. WPP said the new four-unit structure was announced in February 2026 and that separate financial information for all four new units was not yet available.

05 Risk factors

What could break the reset

Old client losses keep dragging revenue

High impact · High odds

WPP has already warned that old client assignment losses should be a 500 to 600 basis point drag in 2026. That is bigger than the 300 to 400 basis point drag in 2025. If new wins do not ramp fast enough, the turnaround stays stuck in shrinking revenue.

We watchWatch like-for-like revenue less pass-through costs in H2 2026 and whether management still points to growth in 2027.

The single company model stalls inside WPP

High impact · Medium odds

WPP is trying to change how a very large agency group sells, staffs work, and rewards people. That is hard because agency brands have their own cultures and client ties. If the new incentives do not change behavior, WPP may cut costs without winning more work.

We watchWatch large integrated account wins, cross-sell commentary, and progress toward the £500M gross annual savings target by 2028.

WPP Open does not win client trust

Medium impact · Medium odds

WPP Open is meant to be the operating system for the new model. The filing warns that failure to adapt to AI and deploy WPP Open with clients could hurt the business. Client adoption matters because the platform is supposed to help WPP pitch, build, and measure work faster.

We watchWatch disclosed WPP Open usage, pitch conversion data, and whether major wins mention WPP Open as part of the reason.

AI errors and copyright claims hit client work

Medium impact · Medium odds

WPP's 20-F names risks from AI agents in client-facing or decision-making roles, including wrong outputs and lack of transparency. Generative AI also brings copyright and data-set risk. A major client error or legal claim could slow adoption and damage trust.

We watchWatch for client disputes, legal claims tied to AI-generated work, and new limits on how WPP can use generative AI.

Clients cut project spending

Medium impact · Medium odds

Parts of WPP depend on discretionary project work, which clients can delay when budgets tighten. China and project-based work have already been pressure points. A weaker ad market would make the bridge from 2026 to 2027 harder.

We watchWatch China trends, technology client spending, and commentary on discretionary project work at AKQA and other creative units.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

What does WPP actually do?

WPP helps clients advertise and communicate. It buys media, makes campaigns, runs content production, builds marketing technology, and provides public relations and consulting services.

Why is WPP changing its structure?

WPP wants to act like one company instead of a collection of separate agencies. The goal is to cut friction, cross-sell more services, and save £500M in gross annual costs by 2028.

What is WPP Open?

WPP Open is WPP's AI-driven marketing platform. It connects data, creative tools, media planning, and workflows so teams can build and manage client work faster.

What is the key thing to watch in 2026?

The key issue is whether recent client wins turn into revenue fast enough to offset old client losses. Management expects H1 2026 to be weak, so H2 2026 and the 2027 growth target matter most.